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2024-12-14 12:28:53

According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.On December 11th, the reporter was informed that Vanke Property innovatively launched the "flexible pricing" model at the press conference of Wanwuyun Ruijian held in Shenzhen, and released "smart selection" products, returned the service options and pricing rights to the owners, and innovatively launched "flexible pricing" in the industry. Specifically, Vanke Property's "Smart Choice" products take "the whole cycle of project property services" as the main axis, forming a set of all kinds of services, in which 158 required services and 350 optional services are classified and screened out. At present, Vanke Property is pushing the industry to change from standardized pricing to flexible pricing. Kerry Property Management believes that this initiative has led the transformation and upgrading of property services in the stock era, and is expected to become the standard practice of the property management industry in the future, and promote the development of the whole industry in a more standardized and efficient direction. (Dahe Finance Cube)Huawei and Shenzhen Jiaotong University released the pioneer scene of commercial operation of Shenzhen intelligent network connection. Shenzhen Jiaotong University built the first supporting platform in China. It was learned from Huawei's business officer Wei that during the 2024 academic annual meeting of China Highway Society, in the sub-forum of "Lu Yun Energy" collaborative development, Huawei, Shenzhen Jiaotong University (301091), Shenzhen Intelligent Network Connection Transportation Association and other units jointly released the pioneer scene plan of commercial operation of Shenzhen intelligent network connection smart parking, which helped the integrated and coordinated development of mopeds and Lu Yun. Relying on Huawei's high-precision visual positioning, 5G and AI technologies, Shenzhen Intelligent Networked Collaborative Smart Parking Commercial Operation Pioneer Scenario Scheme has launched a collaborative smart parking scheme combining cars and parking lots, which can provide navigation services and AR reverse car search services for ordinary vehicles. It is reported that commissioned by the government and built by Shenzhen Stock Exchange, relying on the city's digital twin platform and collecting the total traffic data of networked vehicles, the country's first intelligent networked vehicle full chain management and service support platform has been built to support the full-cycle full chain business management of intelligent networked vehicles such as testing, demonstration, access, grading, road operation and commercial operation, and support the cross-departmental collaborative supervision of intelligent networked vehicles.


Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the 53rd consecutive trading day.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures fell more and rose less. The European line of container transportation rose by over 5%, while alumina, SC crude oil and Shanghai nickel rose by over 1%. In terms of decline, coke, No.20 glue and caustic soda fell by more than 2%, while glass, coking coal, Shanghai Bank, hot coil, rubber and BR rubber fell by more than 1%.


The Shanghai 50 index fell more than 2%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell 1.8%.Sinotrans set up a new logistics development company in Chongqing with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise search APP, Sinotrans Southwest (Chongqing) Logistics Development Co., Ltd. was recently established with Zhou Tao as its legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: international freight forwarding by sea; Land international freight forwarding agent; Packaging service; Customs declaration business, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Sinotrans.A small plane crashed on a highway in New York, USA, causing one death and one injury. On the evening of December 12, local time, a small plane crashed on a highway in Westchester County, New York, USA, killing one of the two people on board and injuring the other. It is reported that the plane crashed into the guardrail in the middle of the highway. Emergency rescue vehicles blocked all the lanes of the accident section, and the environmental protection department has rushed to the scene to clean up the leaked aviation fuel.

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